Analyses


Analyses 1 to 4


21/05/2015
Russia: Islamic State vs Al Qaeda; Deepening crisis in Imarat Kavkaz contributes to the reinforcement of IS positions in post-Soviet space
The security developments of the past months in Northern Caucasus indicate two main trends: 1. The clear weakening of the positions of Al-Qaeda-linked Imarat Kavkaz and 2. The reinforcing positions of the Islamic State. Indeed, a recent string of counter-terrorism operations in Northern Caucasus, that resulted in the killing of numerous senior terrorist members of Imarat Kavkaz including the Emir Mukhammad, who succeeded Doku Umarov after his death, put the group in situation of harsh competition with the Islamic State who is increasing its presence in Russia.
08/05/2015
Tanzania/Kenya: New Al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group "Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa" issues threat against western targets
In a statement, posted online on May 4, a recently created Al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group named 'Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa' threatened to carry out attacks against western interests in the region, accusing UN forces of 'encouraging repressions against Muslims'. The group also threatened to carry out attacks against targets in Tanzania, Uganda and Kenya. The latest statement, that was published the same day as when a Tanzanian convoy was attacked by ADF rebels in North Kivu province in Democratic Republic of Congo, raises concerns over the threat presented by the new Al-Qaeda offspring in East Africa.
06/02/2014
Sochi: high threats but low risk
The security paradox of Winter Olympic Games in Sochi is obvious to any observer of the Russian scene and to every security analysts: the threat level is very high...
06/02/2014
Sotchi : menaces élevées mais risques faibles
Le paradoxe sécuritaire des Jeux olympiques d’hiver à Sotchi est évident pour tout observateur de la scène russe et pour tout analyste de la sécurité : le niveau des menaces est très élevé ...

Keywords

Afghanistan Alain Porchet Albania Algeria Alicia Jensen Almaty Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa Al-Qaeda Andre Burstin Armenia Astana Austria Azerbaijan Belgique Belgium Boko Haram Bosnia-Herzegovina Brazil Canada Chile China Cisjordania civil unrest Claude Moniquet Constantinos Prevelakis Crime organisé CSDP Dahiya Defence Dimitri Dombret Diplomacy Egypte El Salvador Election Emmanuel Dubois Ethiopia EU Europe European Defence European Defence Fund European Union Evgenia Gvozdeva Extremism Fabrice Corbera Far-Right Fatima Hassanova FIAN Foteini Fragkou France Gaza Genovefa Etienne Georgia Germany GiletsJaunes gun violence Hamas Hezbollah Human Rights Imarat Kavkaz India Ingrid Belottini Insurgency Intelligence Iqbal Al Gharbi Iran Iraq Islamic State Islamism Israel Jean-Paul Huste Julian Richards Kabylie Karim Massimov Kassim-Jormart Tokayev Kazakhstan Kenya Kieran Doyle Kirghizstan Kosovo Kyrgyzstan Lebanon Lhoussain Azergui Mexico Michael Soussan Morocco NATO Netherlands Nigeria North Caucasus Nursultan Nazarbayev Organised crime Otan Pakistan Palestinian territories Paraguay Patrick Esteve Peru Pierre Arnold Political risk Politics Radicalisation Raphael Ramos Renaud François Right-Wing Extremism Riots Roberto de Primis Russia Russie Security Serbia shooting social media Somalia South Caucasus South Korea Sri Lanka Sudan Syria Tajikistan Tanzania Terrorism Tsahal Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Ukraine United States Uzbekistan Vladimir Poutine Vladimir Putin White Supremacists William Racimora
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